6.6 Promotion Levels

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Canadian Paddler
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6.6 Promotion Levels

Post by Canadian Paddler » Sat Nov 04, 2017 3:58 pm

6.6 Promotion Levels
Promotion, and the consequent size of the divisions, are driven mainly by:
• The promotion targets
• The number of races (more races = more points-getting opportunities)
• The number of competitors in each race (more competitors = more paddlers getting promotion-capable points, but there is a counter factor: in smaller fields, proportionately more competitors get wins, to count towards promotion either on points or on wins)
• A random element – how the points get distributed
Additional factors in managing divisional numbers are:
• Short Season status
• The demotion cutoff
Below are the numbers promoted in 2016, with the number who raced in each class and division and the percentages promoted. On current form, 2017 figures will be similar, with a marginal drop in C1 numbers due to higher targets - but this affects mainly promotion from Division 1 to Prem.
Tables do not work well. Please see Nick Penfold's paper on this
K1W K1M C1W C1M Totals
Prom Raced % Prom Raced % Prom Raced % Prom Raced % Prom Raced %
Division 1 to Prem 14 73 19.18 23 155 14.84 8 34 23.53 10 51 19.61 55 313 17.57
Division 2 to Division 1 22 92 23.91 46 173 26.59 10 28 35.71 20 57 35.09 98 350 28.00
Division 3 to Division 2 32 126 25.40 58 211 27.49 15 28 53.57 22 51 43.14 127 416 30.53
The obvious tendencies:
• Proportionately more are promoted in the lower divisions
• Proportionately more C1s are promoted than K1s
Division 1 numbers increase by around 50 (net) over the course of each year, Division 2 numbers by about 30.
Promotion Targets
The current targets for promotion to Prem ask the paddler, in effect, to get into the top 5% of the field 5 times – against substantial competition, on fairly tough courses, and with a maximum of 18 or 20 races available. That’s pretty demanding.
By comparison, a Division 2 needs to get into the top 10% 5 times, with around 50 races on the calendar. The standard to beat isn’t high, partly because talent keeps getting promoted out of the division.
There are two consequences
• Oversubscribed Division 1 races, especially later in the year
• A dumbing-down of Division 2 as talent is striped out.
Increasing promotion targets for Division 2 and Division 3 is proposed. It’s hard to predict the impact of any increase, so a phased approach is suggested, with a small increase for 2018, another for 2019 to be reviewed at the next ACM.
The Other Factors
Number of races
It would be pretty negative to try to cut down the number of races, and a regional factor has always been assumed for Division 2 and 3.
The number of competitors in each race
Not something we’d want to limit any more than necessary for the site
Short Season status
Currently those promoted get Short Season status, and protection from demotion, however early in the year they are promoted. At demotion time this is frustrating; we are unable to demote either paddlers who had almost a whole season to demonstrate their worth and failed, or who sat back and did nothing knowing they would not go down. Redefining Short Season as “promoted after 30th June” but the effect on numbers would be small and needs consideration especially in regard to the seasonal divisions
The Demotion Cutoff
Here the committee has discretion, although there are expectations – going much above the 1000 mark (which we expect to interpret as 2000, 1000, 500 this year). The large number of short season paddlers means very heavy cuts would be needed to make a difference.
Targets
2018 Possible 2019
Target 5 wins % 5 Wins Target % 5 Wins Target % 5 Wins
Division 1 to Prem 4,750 5,000 95 4,750 95 4,750 95
Division 2 to Division 1 2,250 2,500 90 2,300 92 2,300 94
Division 3 to Division 2 1,040 1,250 83.2 1,100 85.6 1,100 88
. Page 57
B4.3.2 Promotion in all other Divisions
Promotion will be gained by attaining the following points from the five best results:
Division 1 to Premier 4750
Division 2 to Division 1 2300
Division 3 to Division 2 1100
All spelling errors are intentional and are there to show new and improved ways of spelling old words. Grammatical errors are due to too many English classes/teachers.
Old. Fat. Slow. Bad tempered. And those are my good points

Canadian Paddler
Posts: 1480
Joined: Tue May 25, 2004 8:31 am
Location: Peterborough
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Re: 6.6 Promotion Levels

Post by Canadian Paddler » Mon Nov 06, 2017 11:52 am

OK typing error in possible 2019 targets for promotion (of course subject to ratification). Should be
2017
1->Prem: , 4750 (95%)
2 -> 1: 2250 (90%)
3 - > 2: 1040 (83.2%)

2018
1->Prem: , 4750 (95%)
2 -> 1: 2300 (92%)
3 - > 2: 1070 (85.6%)

2019

1->Prem: , 4750 (95%)
2 -> 1: 2350 (94%)
3 - > 2: 1100 (88%)

Of course you all worked that out from the mangled table above! :-)
I will make this clear in the presentation at the meeting, (shows we need a new secretary)
All spelling errors are intentional and are there to show new and improved ways of spelling old words. Grammatical errors are due to too many English classes/teachers.
Old. Fat. Slow. Bad tempered. And those are my good points

Canadian Paddler
Posts: 1480
Joined: Tue May 25, 2004 8:31 am
Location: Peterborough
Contact:

Re: 6.6 Promotion Levels

Post by Canadian Paddler » Sat Nov 25, 2017 12:48 pm

The motion was accepted, 51 votes for, 11 votes against and no abstentions.
All spelling errors are intentional and are there to show new and improved ways of spelling old words. Grammatical errors are due to too many English classes/teachers.
Old. Fat. Slow. Bad tempered. And those are my good points

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